Our Europe Country Risk Service
BMI provides unrivalled coverage of the fast-evolving economic, political and business risk landscape across Western, Central and East Europe, Central Asia and the former-Soviet Union.The service is comprised of:
- Daily News Analysis provides indepth analysis of key national and regional economic and financial data, political trends and business operational risk
- 38 Country Reports detail and explain our core 10-year economic forecasts, and analyse and quantify economic, political and business risks
- Data Download provides an historic time series and 10-year forecasts for up to 400 economic, financial and socio-demographic indicators per state
To access our analysis, clients can purchase individual reports, or subscribe to any industry and/or country risk combination to access via our premier online service, BMO
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Tokyo Electric Power Company Co. (TEPCO)
May 08 2012 – On almost all metrics, the UK local elections held on May 3 were a victory for the centre-left opposition Labour Party, which made major gains against not only the governing Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, but also the Welsh nationalist Plaid Cymru. Overall, Labour's share of the vote rose to 39% across Great Britain, while the Conservatives fell to 33%, which was the first time either party had scored such numbers since 2001. Given that the seats up for election in 2012 were last contested in 2008 when the Conservatives were...
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Viettel
Apr 25 2012 – Proving that the UK is far from immune to the turmoil afflicting the eurozone, data published by the Office for National Statistics show the economy contracting by 0.2% q-o-q during...
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Leighton Holdings
Mar 03 2012 – Back in 2010 we outlined our view that UK house price would edge lower over the medium term as high unemployment, combined fiscal consolidation and private sector deleveraging, as well...
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Volkswagen
Mar 01 2012 – With the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government now nearly two years old, we believe that stresses on the administration are growing, and will be particularly heightened between May and November 2012....
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General Electric
Feb 09 2012 – Both industrial production and trade data released today by the Office for National Statistics show an improvement on the previous month and further supports our view that the UK economy...
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LAP Green
Jan 25 2012 – The UK economy contracted in the last quarter of 2011 by 0.2% q-o-q, slightly below our expectation for zero growth. The sectoral decomposition shows a 1.2% drop in production and...
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Sterling Will Lose Ground Against The Dollar
Jan 17 2012 – The British pound has trended lower since Q211, hovering around the US$1.5300/GBP level on January 17 2012. Much of the recent sterling weakness has materialised on the back of a...
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BoE Gilt Demand Key To UK Safe Haven Status
Jan 06 2012 – With the UK economic recovery losing momentum and inflation likely to recede sharply through the year, coupled with powerful external headwinds emanating from the eurozone, the BoE is likely to...
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Growth Flat-Lining In 2012 Is Best-Case Scenario
Jan 04 2012 – With 2012 likely be the toughest year yet since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, the UK economy is set to remain in the doldrums. The combined impact of...
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BMW
Oct 18 2011 – Following the additional GBP75bn in quantitative easing announced on October 6 and the current Occupy London protest against fiscal austerity and bank bailouts, the higher than expected inflation data released...
Country Risk Data & Forecasts
BMI provides a comprehensive economic and demographic database covering 153 states that account for over 99.5% of global GDP. The service comprises:
- Time Series: Historic monthly, quarterly and annual data, and annual forecasts for 10 years
- Indicators: Detailed breakdown of GDP, balance of payments, official and private debt, forex, interest rates, inflation and demographic data
- Risk Ratings: Our country-comparative proprietary sovereign and Country Risk ratings covering over 150 developed, emerging and frontier markets
- Methodology: Our forecasts are based on our proprietary model that integrates our top-down global macro and asset class views with our indepth country-specific economic expertise
Europe Country Risk Reports
BMI produces 39 country-specific Country Risk Forecast Reports, covering political risk, the economic outlook and the business operating environment in virtually all European states. The reports include:
- Economic Outlook: BMI's core economic scenario and 10-year forecasts, GDP, inflation, debt, balance of payments and government budget
- Political Outlook: Our analysis of domestic and international trends that will impact the outlook for investors
- Business Environment: A detailed overview of the state's infrastructure, institutions and policy environment
- Industry Outlook BMI's key growth forecasts for the key industries
- Risk Ratings Our proprietary country-comparative political, economic and business environment ratings
To access our analysis, clients can purchase individual reports, or subscribe to any industry and/or country risk combination to access via our premier online service, BMO
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Political Outlook - General Motors
Apr 30 2012 – With the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government now nearly two years old, we believe that stresses...
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Economic Outlook - General Motors
Apr 30 2012 – A modest downward revision to fourth quarter GDP by the Office for National Statistics to...
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Long-Term Political Outlook - Strong Potential For Visa Mobile Payments Growth Amid Challenges
Apr 16 2012 – The UK political party conference season has been and gone, with few indications of how...
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10 Year Forecasts - Q3 2012
Apr 16 2012 – Despite our recent downward revision to the UK's medium-term economic growth forecasts, we hold to...
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BMI View - UK
Apr 16 2012 – The main challenge facing the Conservative-Liberal Democrat government is reining in the massive budget deficit,...
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Business Environment Outlook - Rio Tinto Alcan
Apr 16 2012 – The UK has a fairly attractive business environment owing to the ease of doing business,...
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Risk Summary - BG Group
Apr 16 2012 – POLITICAL RISK Short-term political risk remains elevated within the UK, owing to uncertainties emanating from the...
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Political Outlook - Nestlé
Jan 31 2012 – What will the vote be on?: At present it is unclear as to what question...
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Economic Outlook - Nestlé
Jan 31 2012 – With 2012 likely be the toughest year yet since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in...
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BMI View - UK
Jan 16 2012 – The main challenge facing the Conservative-Liberal Democrat government is reining in the massive budget deficit,...